By definition, artificial general intelligence is intelligence that can reason like humans. It is still a theoretical concept. It is a hypothetical concept that can perform any human task through methods that are not constrained to its training. Sam Altman calls it will ‘elevate humanity,’ Others call it God-like AI.
It is still debatable when we will attain it. Corporates are working on it. OpenAI’s o1 model is a step in this direction. Miles Brundage who recently left OpenAI believes some form of AGI will manifest in the next few years. Dario Amodie, CEO of Anthropic believes that some form of AGI could be seen by 2026. He prefers to call it powerful AI. Geoffrey Hinton puts a timeframe of five years to realize AGI. It could extend to 20 years. These are uncertain times. Demis Hassabis, CEO, DeepMind and a Nobel laureate feels it is a decade away. Andrew Ng is conservative about his time estimate. Richard Socher, formerly of Salesforce defines AGI in two ways — automation of jobs which are AI-powered and an intelligence that can learn like humans. It could be achieved as early as a decade or could take 200 years. Yen LeCun is not optimistic about AGI’s arrival soon. It may take years. And it will not be an event. It is going to be a gradual process.