Sam Altman, OpenAI CEO, expects to reach AGI within next five years, with the current hardware. Anthropic CEO, Dario Amodei predicts AGI will be achieved in 2026 or 2027. His prediction is based on extrapolated curves of the progression of AI models. The limitations the corporates face while developing advanced models are the lack of high-quality data for training and adequate funds.
There is a lurking fear of the termination of humanity with the advancement of AI. Still, they pursue the AI bubble. There is no possibility of AI reaching its end point — it is an endless cycle.
Advanced models are capital intensive and are difficult to maintain. There is a mad rush for supremacy. Corporates launch models in rapid succession. With most models having similar capabilities, corporates aim to reach the AGI. Still, it remains elusive. It requires vast resources, touching trillions of dollars to get infrastructure of semiconductor chips and extra data centers.
As we have previously observed, Altman finds AGI, ‘a few thousands day away.’ He has now a more defined time frame of 5 years.
Altman thinks AGI may not have a profound impact on mankind. It may whoosh by. He admits that AI revolution could lead to radical social changes and quick scientific progression.
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