OpenAI’s March to Superintelligence

Sam Altman on a personal blog writes that OpenAI knows how to build AGI and is focusing its attention now on superintelligence.

He says the current products they market are highly satisfactory but the futuristic superintelligent tools would accelerate scientific discovery well beyond the humans are capable of doing on their own. It will lead to greater abundance and prosperity.

Previously, Altman speculated that super intelligence could be ‘a few thousand days’ away. He also emphasized that its arrival would be ‘more intense than people think.’

AGI or artificial general intelligence is a hazy term, but OpenAI has formulated its own definition. AGI represents highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work. Microsoft that backs up OpenAI has given its own definition of AGI. AGI systems generate at least $100 in profits. When OpenAI achieves this target, Microsoft will lose access to its technology. This is in accordance with the agreement between the two companies.

Altman has not specified which definition he has in mind. However, the former definition is the likeliest.

AI agents may soon join the workforce by working autonomously, and may materially change the output of the companies.

Progressively, they believe, in putting great tools in the hands of people.

At present, the AI technology has limitations. These hallucinate and make mistakes.

Altman is confident that these limitations can be overcome. They have also learnt that the timelines could shift.

In the next few years, they would be able to put more effective systems. It is humbling to be able to play a role in this work.

As OpenAI shifts its focus on superintelligence, it is hoped that the company would allocate sufficient resources to ensure the safety of such superintelligent systems. At present they do not have a solution for steering or controlling a potentially superintelligent AI and prevent it from going rogue (blog July 2023).

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