Likely Exit Window for Crypto Holders

The proposed ban on cryptos is likely to deal a blow to investors estimated to be 8 million who hold an estimated Rs.10000 crore in cryptos. Therefore, it is possible that government may provide an exit window of 3-6 months for investors before prohibiting the possession, mining and issuing of cryptos.

There are resident Indians who transmit money abroad legally for various reasons, including investments in overseas assets. Such investors are likely to trade cryptos through overseas brokerages. Restricting crypto trades would affect such transfers. The government is also conscious of the booming cryptocurrency market and would think deeply about this.

Bitcoin Rises Slow and Steady

Bitcoin moved up in value — crossing $60000 in March 2021. It has been a bull run for a year where its value has appreciated by 80 per cent. Such a steep rise has made it a favourite topic of discussion for investors and financial analysts. One of the reasons for this spectacular rise is its acceptance by prominent organisations such as Tesla, PayPal, Visa, BNY Mellon, BlackRock, MasterCard. As cryptocurrencies are decentralised, these can be transferred through non-banking channels. Bitcoin supply is fixed and these are traded and registered on a ledger. Cryptos are still evolving, and these are early days.

As these are net regulated or issued by the government, its future is still uncertain. The Indian Bill that is proposed may affect the cryptos adversely. India can have its own digital currency issued by the RBI. China has already done this. Here trading happens on the blockchain.

A young nation such as India has attraction for cryptos. Dubious crypto transactions are a concern. RBI banned cryptos in 2018. However. the SC lifted the ban in March 2020. Since then crypto are being traded in India.

C-Band and 5G Spectrum Conundrum

C-Band spectrum consists of radio frequencies within bands 4 GHz and 8 GHz. According to National Frequency Allocation Plan 2018 (NFAP), C-Band frequencies from 3.3 GHz to 3.6 GHz (i.e. 300 MHz) are earmarked for 5G. It is called mid-band spectrum. It has caused concern among cable and satellite (C&S) TV sector, as their satellite band is 3.7GHz to 4.2GHz. There could be out-of-band emission (OBE). 5G signals would be far more powerful and all-pervasive than satellite signals. There should be a separation of 100 MHz between 5G services and satellite services to ensure satisfactory signals ( in the 3.7GHz to 4.2GHz). This 100 MHz is called guard-band.

Each operator of 5G must have for effective service 80-100 MHz. The more the spectrum, the better the quality of service. An operator must have at least 80 MHz each in the mid-band (TRAI).

If the guard-band has 50 MHz between the services, 5G and satellite operators must use appropriate band pass filters (BPF).

Digital Music

When music became digital, it affected the music industry adversely. Almost to the point of destruction. Music compression led to MP3 in the 1990s. There was file sharing and CD making. In the coming decade starting from 2001, the global revenue of music industry declined from $ 24 billion to $ 15 billion in 2011. The revenue then rose again in 2016, to reach $ 20 billion currently. Music industry has created a new eco-system — there are streaming applications, short-video apps, and social media. It has made monetisation of the IP easier. Thus digitisation is now helping music industry to revive.

Over 2/3rd of the revenues come from streaming music. Short-video apps have created a new revenue stream. There is less music piracy now, as people do not browse on the internet for song but have shifted to the app-based consumption. These apps have introduced transparency and have enhanced monetisability. The value of music libraries have been unlocked. The song gets per play rate, ranging from 4 paise to 10 paise. When the song is played as a part of paid service, the label gets a revenue share. Payments are linked to trackability of a song. Investment has been made on digitising the libraries of music companies.

Artistes and music companies which own the IP are paid by the streaming music companies and short-video apps. Music companies license their collection of songs. Thus there are earnings from existing and new music both for the labels and the individual artistes. IPRS collects royalties on behalf of lyricists and composers. In 2020, IPRS distributed Rs.170 crore.

The changed music industry discovers and promotes new talent.

Visa and Crypto

March end, 2021. Visa proposes that cryptocurrency USD coin can be used to settle transactions on its payment network. Its pilot programme uses the crypto platform crypto.com. However, if the platform uses Visa card to pay for coffee, the digital currency in a cryptocurrency wallet will have to be converted into traditional money. The cryptocurrency wallet deposits traditional fiat currency in a bank account to be wired to visa at the end of the day to settle the transactions. It adds cost and complexity to the transaction.

Instead, Visa can use the blockchain, thus bypassing the need to convert digital coin into traditional money in order to settle the transaction. Visa partnered with Anchorage, a digital asset bank in March 2021, and completed first transaction this month with crypto.com, sending USDC to Visa’s Ethereum blockchain address at Anchorage.

USDC is a stable-coin cryptocurrency whose value is pegged directly to the US dollar.

mmWave Bands for 5G

India’s telecom regulator has earmarked mid-band spectrum in the 3300-3600 MHz band for 5G services. However, for 5G services the most efficient bands are millimeter wave bands — 27GHz, 28GHz and 37GHz. Telecom operators request the DOT and TRAI to earmark the mmWave bands for auction along with other 5G bands such as 3.5GHz. They require at least 400 units of millimeter wave spectrum per operator. It will enable them to provide the affordable 5G services in India. Without these bands, 5G deployment costs would escalate and would make if unaffordable.

Bitcoin as Store of Value

According to Nandan Nilkeni, cryptocurrencies are acceptable as a store of value but these are not ideal for transactions. It will never be able to meet the transactional efficiency of UPI in India which deals with 2.3 billion transactions a month, and the architecture is for 1billion transactions a day at almost zero cost. Bitcoin can never compete with UPI on transactional efficiency. It could be considered as a store of value. It can be thought of as an asset class, such as gold and real estate. These can be regulated by some rules. RBI can think of a digital rupee, and can use UPI architecture to distribute it. This architecture allows multiple stored-value accounts. UPI thus can have a bank account, a wallet, a bitcoin account or an account for digital rupee.

Digital Dollar

As early as July 2021, the officials at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston and MIT would like to have prototypes for a digital dollar. The project is in progress. Bankers feel threatened by this disruptive development, and say that a digital dollar is not needed. MasterCard and Visa are ready to work with it. This electronic alternative to paper bills, whether called a digital dollar or Fedcoin, have not yet been approved by the lawmakers and the US Treasury Department officials. It thus could be years away.

Banning IP Addresses of Crypto Exchanges

The government of India proposes to ban the Internet Protocol (IP) addresses of companies/exchanges which trade in cryptocurrencies. It is a moot point how far the move could be successful. The implementation will be deferred by 3-6 months so that an exit window is provided to the current investors. However, the move is not foolproof.

There are VPNs or virtual private network services. These could be used. The liberalised remittance scheme of a limit of $250000 could be diverted for buying cryptocurrencies.

Instead, it is better for the government to regulate this sector. There should be checks and balances. There should be a clear taxation policy for cryptos.

Basics of Cryptocurrencies

Cryptocurrency is virtual currency, and bears a unique code. These are coins created by solving mathematical puzzles using computer power. This process is called mining. They are stored in wallets which are digital directories accessed through passwords. These coins could be broken into smaller units, say a hundredth-millionth of a coin.

Cryptos are not controlled by a central authority. They are crowd-controlled through an electronic ledger called blockchain. A proposed transaction is verified through it. When majority of blockchain viewers agree, coin no. xxx can be transferred from Wallet X to Wallet Y. The transaction is cleared, and a new entry is made in blockchain.

Most cryptocurrencies are not pegged to any asset. Stable-coins may be linked to either the US dollar or a basket of currencies.

Cryptos are used in transactions, but not usually. They are used in foreign trade, gaming and online casinos. As they are hard to trace by the authorities, they are used in shady deals.

Cryptocurrencies are traded in multiple currencies on many platforms. Cryptos are extremely volatile. Their transactions are slow — before a transaction is vetted, many people have to see it. It is, therefore, hard to use cryptos for common transactions.

Cryptocurrencies are not suitable for traditional banking. In traditional banking, cash credit or bank money is created. It is not possible to create cash credit with cryptos. Each coin has a unique code and lending means transferring the coin with that unique code. Bank money is just a notional entry.

Each coin’s history is recorded from its mining stage to its various transactions in blockchain. Every proposed transaction must be confirmed by the majority viewing it. After its acceptance by the majority, it is entered in a blockchain.