Tulip Mania

There are examples in history of mad speculations. They draw a number of investors. The Dutch tulip mania happened between 1634 and 1637. It was trading in tulip bulbs. Prices soared everyday. It was a frenzy. The price rise attracted more investors, and that escalated the prices further. The rise was 200 times in a month. The rare varieties were priced even higher.

The bubble burst finally, It bankrupted so many. Crypto mania too could lead to the same fate. The RBI governor warns that in crypto the underlying is not ‘even a tulip.’

Bitcoin reached the dizzying heights of $60000 to $65000. Even now it is at $35000. Even other cryptos have risen dramatically. The budget tax of capital gains aims to discourage crypto trading. The RBI feels cryptos are a threat to financial and macroeconomic stability.

Design Thinking

Design thinking is a five step process which could be applied to any project. The first step is empathy for the user. After that the problem is defined. It is then ideated. A prototype is created. Last, the whole thing is tested. This is what is done subconsciously.

In the field of software, the first step is to understand how the customer interacts with the app, software or service. This understanding will lead to empathy — understanding user’s point of view. Problems will be anticipated before they arise. In empathy, one puts oneself in the shoes of another person.

Design thinking takes you away from linear thinking, and provides an alternative way of dealing with the problem. One can also think ahead of customers. One can simulate the customer’s or user’s journey and spot the points of friction.

Unicorns

A unicorn is a startup (privately owned) with a valuation of $1 billion plus. Aileen Lee in 2013 introduced this term to describe tech startups which were valued at $1 billion plus.

Venture capitalists finance such startups. The valuation is not connected to their financial performance. Some of these may not generate any revenue at all (Pre-Revenue Stage). Even business models of such startups complicate the matters. Some are the pioneers, and hence there is no benchmark for valuation.

They are valued high on account of envisaged faster growth. They preempt the market rivals. There is a possibility of these being acquired by the Big Tech. In fact, they are buying technologies for market synergy. Besides, innovations boost up growth.

The Economic Survey, 2021-22 puts the number of new recognised startups to over 14000. India has now 83 unicorns, most of which are in the services sector. In 2021, 44 startups have achieved unicorn status.

India has become the third larger startup eco-system in the world after the US and China.

Delhi replaced Bangalore as the startup capital of India. Between April 2019 and December 2021, 5000 startups were added to Delhi. In this period, Bangalore had added 4514 startups.

India has more than 61,400 startups recognised by the government as an Jan 10, 2022. Over 14000 new startups have been recognised by the government in 2021. Maharashtra has the highest number of recognised startups at 11,308.

Marketing Tomorrow : Philip Kotler

The following paras summarise Kotler’s views on the above topic. He expresses these views in FAQs on marketing.

Customer-orientation should not be paid only lip sympathy. Customer satisfaction level must be tracked. Reverse marketing is applicable to all the four Ps. Here a buyer defines the terms of exchange. Reverse design let the consumers participate in designing the products they want. Reverse pricing means telling the marketers what price they are willing to pay. Reverse advertising means taking permission from the customers before putting the message across. Reverse distribution means a choice of channels the customers desire.

When the customers create the products and services they want, they become prosumers — producing consumers. As most of the product related factors such as service, quality and value are being copied rapidly, it becomes difficult to differentiate a product. Technology and globalization has changed the landscape. Companies are competing anywhere, thanks to internet and more free trade. Hyper-competition puts a downward pressure on price. in hyper-competition there is hardly any sustainable competitive advantage. Technology and globalization can destroy competitive advantage overnight. we must improve continuously. Companies are compelled to differentiate which is mostly psychological, and not real. Internet has made consumers discriminating. Companies have to offer value in spite of downward pressure on prices which in turn affect profitability too.

The trends visible are brand ownership rather than asset ownership, customization rather than mass marketing, operating as a cyber firm along with brick-and-mortar firm, more emphasis on customer retention and relationship marketing, emphasis on DM, multi-channel marketing, company-wide marketing and partnership with the supply chain.

India’s Role in Shaping Metaverse

Metaverse, the virtual reality universe, will be shaped by tech saavy manpower from India, according to Facebook founder, Mark Zuckerberg. Indian talent of app developers, AR developers, and online gaming developers will contribute a great deal in building the foundation of the metaverse. Zuckerberg articulated his views at Fuel for India 2021 event.

AS we know, Facebook has been rechristened Meta in consistence with Zuckerberg’s vision of the future of internet.

Meta is investing in education and commerce too through startups. Meta wants to accelerate the developments of fundamental technologies, the social platforms and creative tools that are necessary to bring the metaverse to life.

Metaverse will not be developed by just one country or one company. It will be a huge collaborative effort.

At present, Facebook has an audience of 3 billion users globally and it aims to double this user base. A huge amount of foundation of metaverse is likely to be built here in India.

Multi-lateral Tax Reform

Business is going digital. It may so happen that the business is established in one geography whereas the products are being sold across different geographies. Even contracts are concluded digitally by online contracting. There is digital delivery and new payment norms.

Tax authorities grappled with the problem of shifting base for levying taxes. In October 2021, there is an agreement among 136 countries to address the tax challenges brought about by digital transformation of business.

There is global consensus on the design and implementation of new rules (this is under Pillar 1).

In the meantime, countries like India had already introduced Equalisation Levy (EL) to cover online advertising at the rate of 6 per cent . India widened the scope of EL to cover a broad range of online sales, services and facilitation by non-residents which were subjected to a 2 per cent levy. The expanded EL is complex and poses several challenges to tax payers.

EL has been a temporary levy, pending finalisation of the global consensus. It has been agreed that all existing digital taxes will be removed by December 2023 or the rollout of the multi-lateral agreement whichever is earlier.

Indian collection up to 2022 could be Rs.1600 crore, not significant when compared to direct and indirect tax collections. Besides, EL makes India involved into tax disputes and legal challenges. It is in the interest of India to withdraw EL earlier, which will give a strong message to the global community about India’s commitment to multilateral tax reform. It will facilitate the ease of doing business.

Changing Marketing/Advertising Scenario

Consumers expect higher level of service, fast deliveries, great discounts and cash backs. It tells upon marketing budgets. Direct-to-consumer (DTC) is picking up. Company values too are considered by the consumers while buying. Influencer marketing is being used increasingly. Advertising should feel less like advertising. It is to be acknowledged that advertising cannot fix a bad product. Advertising cannot make it a great product. Constant feedback informs the consumers all about the pros and cons of the product. Some brands tend to cling to advertising as a messiah. Consumers are fed up of excessive advertising. Brands will have to be more creative. Brands will have to merge with the stories.

Management Education

Management education 1.0 started as teaching of the theories of management principles, organisation theories, essential subjects such as quantitative techniques and functional areas of management. Management education 2.0 became more learner-focused by introducing discussions and debates, case studies and participatory style. There was student to teacher, student to student and student to group interactions. Management education 3.0 used audio and e-books and internet. Management education 4.0 has been confined to class-rooms, and has access to remote resources online. There are video chats and dialing through voice calls. The material from which one learns has become dynamic, and keeps pace with the learner. Management education 4.0 has been developed in response to Industry 4.0 which uses internet-based technology. It makes personallised learning possible.

MBA Curriculum

There is great demand for MBA courses being offered by Indian business schools. MBA has shown flexibility in its orientation, and that makes it easier for the candidates to switch careers. MBA , to begin with, was structured on the teaching of foundation courses and some electives at the final year or the last semester. This was so in the 1960s and 1970s. The usual electives were HR, production and operations, finance and marketing. Marketing has become an elective of choice by a large number students. One reason was that marketing executives were on company’s expense account on the job, and the company met their lodging, boarding, travelling and entertainment expenses. The world was experiencing a chemistry revolution. Many breakthrough products such as detergents, polyester and paints had appeared on the market. These products were easy to produce and many producers joined the race to make them. What was needed was a marketing team to differentiate these similar products. There emerged a concept of brand and its image. Advertising agencies assisted the companies in this . Business schools introduced subjects such as marketing research, product management, brand management and sales management.

Later in the 80s and 90s and post-2000, business schools shifted the orientation from marketing to finance. Financial services were growing at a rapid pace. They offered most of the lucrative jobs. There was financialisation of economies. Financial services contribute substantially to national income. The types of financial products available increased in number and complexity. There are consultants working in this field globally. Candidates started opting for finance courses.

Another era has began. It is an era of AI and Machine Learning. AI brings a new approach to age-old business issues. We can do marketing research (MR), market segmentation and targeting, and sales forecasting using AI. Business is considered as a network of entities. We have to map our network of which our business is a part. There are bridging opportunities, geographic clusters and hubs. We have to avoid algorathmic bias. Thus the new orientation is AI and innovation, business analytics and prediction.

Business schools have to adapt to each new era. The challenge is to find competent teachers to impart these new skills. There is constant reshuffling of the curricula — old and outdated is cast off, and new topics and courses are added.

Microsoft Reinvented

Microsoft missed several technological trends and faltered in its journey. Still it survived and has remained a tech star by reinventing.

A lean patch Microsoft faced stretched from mid-2000s to 2014. Microsoft was derided by rivals. It could not make a successful search engine. It could not compete with Google in garnering digital advertising. It could not think of Android-like operating system for mobiles, though lately introduced Windows phones could not succeed as much. Still during this lean patch, Microsoft continued to earn money because of Windows-installed computers and its server running technology. It then diversified into telephone systems, data bases and file storage systems. Microsoft did one big thing — it entered into cloud computing. It is one of the most significant technologies of the last 15 years.