Unicorns

A unicorn is a startup (privately owned) with a valuation of $1 billion plus. Aileen Lee in 2013 introduced this term to describe tech startups which were valued at $1 billion plus.

Venture capitalists finance such startups. The valuation is not connected to their financial performance. Some of these may not generate any revenue at all (Pre-Revenue Stage). Even business models of such startups complicate the matters. Some are the pioneers, and hence there is no benchmark for valuation.

They are valued high on account of envisaged faster growth. They preempt the market rivals. There is a possibility of these being acquired by the Big Tech. In fact, they are buying technologies for market synergy. Besides, innovations boost up growth.

The Economic Survey, 2021-22 puts the number of new recognised startups to over 14000. India has now 83 unicorns, most of which are in the services sector. In 2021, 44 startups have achieved unicorn status.

India has become the third larger startup eco-system in the world after the US and China.

Delhi replaced Bangalore as the startup capital of India. Between April 2019 and December 2021, 5000 startups were added to Delhi. In this period, Bangalore had added 4514 startups.

India has more than 61,400 startups recognised by the government as an Jan 10, 2022. Over 14000 new startups have been recognised by the government in 2021. Maharashtra has the highest number of recognised startups at 11,308.

Gaming

In developing games, they use game engines. One such engine is Unity. It is preferred by coders, and small developer teams. However, the preferred choice to make AAA games marketed by big companies, the engine used is Unreal Engine. This has been developed by Epic nearly a quarter of a century ago, It has its C++ core APIs. Artists prefer Unreal. Graphic fidelity on Unreal’s most basic resources contributes to graphical wonders in video games. It is known for its sheer number of tools. A game developer chooses his own area of interest while using Unreal. There are tools for designers, animators, programmers, artists and others. It gets you going. All AAA studios use Unreal. It is a field for experts. Each module requires a drilling for several months. Right now Unreal Engine 5 is in the development. Early access is available. Its Lumen is AI-based lighting system. It makes reflections visible in mirror or pond in real time

Crypto and Budget 2022

The finance minister has imposed 30 per cent tax on capital gains made from crypto and NFT transactions. No deductions are permitted while calculating income, except the cost of acquisition. There will be a 10-37 per cent surcharge in case of short-term capital gains. There will be 15 per cent maximum surcharge on long-term gains made firm virtual assets.

There would be 1 per cent TDS to facilitate the government in tracking quantity of crypto trading.

There is 18 per cent GST on transaction fees earned by crypto trading platforms. It remains unaffected.

Some clarity is required on how digital collectibles like NFTs will be taxed — whether 30 per cent capital gains tax is only in the hands of a trader or would be paid even by the artists who create and sell such assets.

Loss of transfer cannot be set off against any other income.

The gift of these assets is taxable in the hands of recepient.

E-Commerce of Meat

The size of the total meat market is around Rs.3 trillion, 70 per cent of which is fish, 16 per cent poultry, 11 per cent mutton, 2 per cent pork and 1 per cent beef. However, the organised sectors account for only 1 per cent of the total market, or Rs.3000 crore. However, as the total market is expanding, and is likely to reach Rs.6-9 trillion in the next five years, there is a huge potential for e-commerce of meat too.

There are virtual e-commerce companies such as Licious, FreshToHome, TenderCuts, Zappfresh, Meatigo and Fipola. These account for 80 per cent of online meat market. The rest is catered by Big Basket, Milkbasket and Swiggy.

In fish market, around 97 per cent is controlled by the wet market and only 3 per cent is run by organised players. The online players have a miniscule share of the organised market.

The online players focus on their superior quality and hygienic practices to induce consumer confidence.

Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL)

RBI’s working group on digital lending (November, 2021) recommended that BNPL financing should be treated as balance sheet lending.

Fintech lenders are active in BNPL space. It is one of the fastest-growing modes of digital payments, and is considered to be an alternative to credit cards, especially for people in their twenties.

BNPL forms about 2 per cent of total gross merchandise value (GMV), and is likely to grow to 7 per cent of GMV by 2026. The current value of GMV (2021) is $3 billion. It is likely to grow to $35 billion by 2026.

If we want to make BNPL grow further, it is necessary to expand it from online to offline mode. Fintech lenders are now offering physical cards to stimulate BNPL in offline mode. It allows the digital credit line across more touch points. It is particularly suitable for young people with no credit history.

Pay U has launched LazyCard.

There are collaborations between fintechs and traditional banks and NBFCs to operate in this space. These loans may be dispensed on pre-paid instruments, wallets or bank accounts.

Crypto Ban

On account of the decentralised nature of cryptos, bans are largely ineffective. China banned cryptos in 2017, and the transactions moved to exchanges elsewhere, especially Hong Kong and Japan. China imposed a ban on cryptos mining. Mining too moved elsewhere along with associated tax revenue.

The hashrates are measures of the computational power required per second while mining cryptos. The current hashrates are higher than those that prevailed before China ban.

There are no reasons to believe that an outright ban will be more effective in India. Participants in crypto eco-system will simply migrate elsewhere.

Implementation of CBDC

There is an array of digital payment methods available in India, e.g. IMPS, UPI, NEFT, RTGS, Wallets, Cards and NETC. Is an additional payment instrument such as CBDC necessary? Though actual users of digital payments are 200 million, there is potential user base of 700 million. Besides, digital payments are accepted at 15 million outlets, against a total potential of 50 million outlets. Thus a new medium of exchange, CBDC can be accommodated.

Paper and metal currency has the cost of making and distribution. Currency is printed at security presses, under the authority of the RBI, and is distributed through 20 currency vaults at its regional offices. These currency vaults feed 4000 currency chests managed by the commercial banks. Bank branches get their cash from these currency chests and the public is served by these branches. The soiled notes are returned to the RBI through the same channel. Thus physical currency is a costlier proposition than digital currency.

CBDC’s design could evolve over a period of time. To begin with, CBDC could ride the existing digital payments infrastructure. CBDC could use technology other than blockchain initially, and can adopt blockchain at a later stage. On the lines of UPI wallet installed on devices, CBDC can also be presented as wallet. A consortium of banks can play the role of distributors of CBDC. Each bank can acquire a million voluntary customers. Anonymity could be introduced through privacy settings gradually. According to Nandan Nilkeni, the proposed digital rupee (CBDC) should remain anonymous. There are concerns pertaining to surveillance if all transactions are recorded and visible. Banks could be encouraged to be proactive by compensating the infrastructure costs of the branches.

RBI must take steps to widen the user base of CBDC. Digital payment literacy should be encouraged by educating the small stores and individuals.

Contours of CBDC

CBDC from India could be based on blockchain or it could be more like a digital wallet. Blockchain-based currencies provide anonymity, but have high transaction costs and are slower to go through transactions. It all depends on the architecture of the blockchain.

A CBDC could run through a distributed ledger technology (DLT) which empowers the central authority to allow access to and editing the database. Blockchain is a subset of DLT systems, and is far more democratic.

CBDC use cases will decide which which factors are to be accorded primacy. RBI may adopt a phased strategy while introducing CBDC.

Government subsidies is one use-case. These can transferred through Aadhar directly to the beneficiary. It keeps the banks out of the scene. The government will have to bear the cost of fund transfer. CBDC is trustworthy as it is unlikely that the central bank will default on its liability. It is a no-risk settlement asset.

International financial transfers could occur on real-time basis, without an intermediary. The cost of cross-border transfers will fall down.

The cost of printing, storage and transport of the physical currency would be saved. China is promoting digital Yuan. Many other countries too are exploring digital currencies. CBDCs could dethrone private cryptos as they are legal tender. They are greener too, as mining is power-intensive process.

Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) and Blockchain

The digital currencies issued by central banks are called CBDCs. The privately issued digital currencies use blockchain technology. However, this may not be suitable for CBDCs, since it consumes huge amount of electric power. Blockchain happens to be power-hungry, though it is the most efficient system. The settlement time is higher. Even other countries developing CBDCs are not using blockchain. There could be an arrangement where RBI and banks could use blockchain. While distributing to public, banks can use other technologies to transact with the customers. Central Bank can directly issue to the public, or in wholesale format, via other banks.

Cryptos and Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs)

UPI is a cashless electronic mode of money transfer. It, however, transfers fiat money. Instead, one can transfer digital currency issued by the RBI. Here there is no need for settlement, as the transfer is secure, without any third-party risks. A central bank digital currency (CBDC) internationalises the payment system. It is a legal tender issued by the central bank in digital form, and is similar to fiat currency. It is exchangeable with fiat currency one to one. It is in digital form – that’s all.

However, why to have CBDC in an economy where cash is widely used? Cash does need distribution and printing. It involves heavy cost.

Cryptos appeared at the end of the first decade of this millennium. However, privately issued cryptos threaten state control over money.

CBDC is combination of cryptography and decentralised ledger technology. The underlying technology of CBDC and private cryptos remains the same, but they are different. Cryptos are not for transactions. They are treated as assets which would appreciate. Fiat currency, instead of appreciating, depreciates on account of over-supply. CBDC is a currency and not an asset.

CBDC wallets can be maintained directly by the central banks, rather than by the commercial banks. It affects the role of commercial banks as custodians of money. It also constrains the role of banks in creating bank money or cash credit.