A well-known computer scientist Ray Kurzweil predicts the arrival of AGI by 2029. He considers this to be a conservative estimate. It may come next year and the year after. Kurzweil was the one who predicted in 1999 that AI will match human intelligence by 2029. In all these years, people called it a crazy guess. Stanford held even a conference to deliberate on this. Some people made it a distant goal that may take a century.
Musk agrees with Kuzweil and is of the opinion that AI will be smarter than human beings put together by 2029.
People always underestimate the pace of growth of technology. It was said technology doubles in fourteen years, putting the growth at 2 per cent per year. Compute speed has increased tremendously — 35 billion calculations per second. It was just 0.00007 calculations per second in 1939. It is a 24 quadrillion fold increase.
The company behind Worldcoin’s founding member Saturnin Pugnet says that Fusion and AGI are happening by 2030.
When Q was leaked by OpenAI, everybody thought it is AGI. OpenAI is keen to build AGI and considers it as one of its core values.
It all depends how AGI is defined. The evaluation parameters are still evolving. The definition shifts over a period of time. The picture looks hazy.
Devin, an autonomous coding agent, introduced Cognition AI which completes the tasks. It autocompletes tasks and writes apps within no time. It is a massive breakthrough.
Laama3 may have AGI. The company, Facebook, has thrown its hat in the ring.
LeCun has said that it is not as simple as turning on a machine to have AGI. It is going to be a gradual process.